Emerging risk
What Is Emerging Risk? Lessons From the Strait of Hormuz Closure
What makes a risk emerging, why ordinary risk registers miss it, and how the Hormuz closure reveals connections across industries.
Resources for risk and foresight
Practical perspectives on risk, foresight and connected systems.
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Emerging risk
What Is Emerging Risk? Lessons From the Strait of Hormuz Closure
What makes a risk emerging, why ordinary risk registers miss it, and how the Hormuz closure reveals connections across industries.
Scanning and signals
What Is Horizon Scanning? How to Spot Weak Signals Before They Become Risks
A practical guide to finding early signs of change, recording useful signals and turning them into risks someone owns.
Scanning and signals
What Is a Signal? Weak Signals, Trends and Why Most Organisations Collect the Wrong Things
How to distinguish a weak signal from a trend, a forecast or a headline—and why near misses deserve closer attention.